• DocumentCode
    751910
  • Title

    A model for stock price fluctuations based on information

  • Author

    Shepp, Lawrence

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Stat., Rutgers Univ., Piscataway, NJ, USA
  • Volume
    48
  • Issue
    6
  • fYear
    2002
  • fDate
    6/1/2002 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    1372
  • Lastpage
    1378
  • Abstract
    The author presents a new model for stock price fluctuations based on a concept of "information." In contrast, the usual Black-Scholes-Merton-Samuelson (1965, 1973) model is based on the explicit assumption that information is uniformly held by everyone and plays no role in stock prices. The new model is based on the evident nonuniformity of information in the market and the evident time delay until new information becomes generally known. A second contribution of the paper is to present some problems with explicit solutions which are of value in obtaining insights. Several problems of mathematical interest are compared in order to better understand which optimal stopping problems have explicit solutions
  • Keywords
    information theory; optimisation; stock markets; information nonuniformity; optimal stopping problems; stock price fluctuations model; stock prices; time delay; Control theory; Cost accounting; Delay effects; Fluctuations; Helium; Mathematics; Pricing; Statistics; Stochastic processes; Stock markets;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9448
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TIT.2002.1003827
  • Filename
    1003827