Title :
An Agent-Based Fuzzy Collaborative Intelligence Approach for Precise and Accurate Semiconductor Yield Forecasting
Author :
Toly Chen ; Yi-Chi Wang
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Ind. Eng. & Syst. Manage., Feng Chia Univ., Taichung, Taiwan
Abstract :
Yield forecasting is an important task for the manufacturer of semiconductors. Owing to the uncertainty in yield learning, it is, however, often difficult to make precise and accurate yield forecasts. To solve this problem, we propose an agent-based fuzzy collaborative intelligence approach that is modified from the fuzzy linear regression and back propagation network approach. In the proposed methodology, software agents rather than domain experts are used to improve the efficiency of collaboration. In addition, an agent decides the adjustable parameters by referencing to others so that the overall prediction performance can be improved in an effective way. In addition, we proposed a simple and effective way to aggregate the fuzzy forecasts by agents. Compared with the fuzzy linear regression and back propagation network approach, the proposed methodology reduced the average range and mean absolute percentage error by 18% and 99%, respectively.
Keywords :
fuzzy set theory; learning (artificial intelligence); production engineering computing; regression analysis; semiconductor device manufacture; software agents; agent-based fuzzy collaborative intelligence approach; back propagation network approach; domain experts; fuzzy forecasts; fuzzy linear regression; semiconductor manufacturer; semiconductor yield forecasting; software agents; yield learning; Collaboration; Equations; Forecasting; Integrated circuit modeling; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Semiconductor device modeling; Agent; fuzzy collaborative intelligence; semiconductor; yield forecasting;
Journal_Title :
Fuzzy Systems, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TFUZZ.2013.2250290