• DocumentCode
    774690
  • Title

    Is higher-order uncertainty needed?

  • Author

    Neapolitan, Richar E.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Comput. Sci., Northeastern Illinois Univ., Chicago, IL, USA
  • Volume
    26
  • Issue
    3
  • fYear
    1996
  • fDate
    5/1/1996 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    294
  • Lastpage
    302
  • Abstract
    In the artificial intelligence and decision-making communities, there seems to be agreement on the calculations used in most problems that are solved using “higher-order uncertainty”, but disagreement on the terminology used. The purpose here is to show that these problems can be modeled using traditional first-order beliefs, and that, when they are modeled this way, the calculations are the same as the “higher-order” calculations, The disagreements arise because researchers rephrase first-order beliefs in various guises of higher-order uncertainty. I argue that we should stay with the traditional first-order formulations of the problems
  • Keywords
    uncertainty handling; artificial intelligence; decision-making; first-order beliefs; higher-order uncertainty; Ash; Frequency; Random sequences; Terminology; Uncertainty;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Systems, Man and Cybernetics, Part A: Systems and Humans, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    1083-4427
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/3468.487955
  • Filename
    487955