• DocumentCode
    788402
  • Title

    Management of R&D projects under uncertainty: a multidimensional approach to managerial flexibility

  • Author

    Santiago, Leonardo P. ; Bifano, Thomas G.

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Production Eng., Fed. Univ. of Minas Gerais, Brazil
  • Volume
    52
  • Issue
    2
  • fYear
    2005
  • fDate
    5/1/2005 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    269
  • Lastpage
    280
  • Abstract
    In this paper, we describe the practical application of a flexibility-based management approach to new product development, highlighting advantages, and limitations of this methodology. The model is concerned with the resolution of uncertainty over the product development life cycle and deals with technical, market, and cost factors all together. To this end, we consider a real options model, which uses multidimensional decision trees, to assess the development process of a high-technology product, namely, the Adaptive Optics Scanning Laser Ophthalmoscope. Moreover, we show how this project could be managed by estimating its value and determining optimal managerial actions to be taken at each review stage of the new product development process. Finally, we draw conclusions about this model´s general utility and particular challenges associated with its use as a product development tool, and emphasize the need to consider a multidimensional model, instead of a single dimensional one.
  • Keywords
    decision trees; dynamic programming; life cycle costing; product development; research and development management; stochastic programming; adaptive optics scanning laser ophthalmoscope; cost factors; decision trees; high-technology product; managerial flexibility; product development; research and development projects; stochastic dynamic programming; Adaptive optics; Costs; Decision trees; Laser modes; Multidimensional systems; Product development; Project management; Research and development; Research and development management; Uncertainty; Decision trees; R&D projects; managerial flexibility; new product development; real options; stochastic dynamic programming;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Engineering Management, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9391
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TEM.2005.844465
  • Filename
    1424415