DocumentCode
823777
Title
Modeling and critiquing the confirmation bias in human reasoning
Author
Silverman, Barry G.
Author_Institution
Inst. for Artificial Intelligence, George Washington Univ., Washington, DC, USA
Volume
22
Issue
5
fYear
1992
Firstpage
972
Lastpage
982
Abstract
In trying to solve even small problems, humans often form wrong hypotheses by looking only at the most salient factors and by ignoring contrary evidence. Once they form their initial beliefs, they exhibit a strong tendency to seek only additional confirming evidence. This type of behavior is the confirmation bias. Empirical evidence is presented suggesting that computers can interact with humans by qualitatively modeling and detecting their confirmation bias and by offering criticism strategies that will effectively mitigate the unwanted effects. The degree of improvement is sensitive to the strategy and content of the critic. A number of strategies are constructed and evaluated, and it is shown which ones are most likely to lead to success for varying circumstances and user types. Additional fruitful research directions are pinpointed
Keywords
physiological models; psychology; beliefs; confirmation bias; human reasoning; modeling; psychology; Accidents; Biological system modeling; Decision making; Fault diagnosis; Feeds; Humans; Knowledge based systems; Marine vehicles; Missiles;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Systems, Man and Cybernetics, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9472
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/21.179837
Filename
179837
Link To Document