DocumentCode :
835420
Title :
5 Commandments [technology laws and rules of thumb]
Author :
Ross, Philip E.
Volume :
40
Issue :
12
fYear :
2003
fDate :
6/25/1905 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage :
30
Lastpage :
35
Abstract :
There are sublime, silly, real and true laws, and folksy rules of thumb laws that have come up from mathematical observations, pithy pronouncements, and even a few enduring self-fulfilling prophecies about technology. The article discusses how some laws have fared in time. These laws include: Moore´s Law - the number of transistors on a chip doubles annually; Rock´s Law - the cost of semiconductor tools doubles every four years; Machrone´s Law the PC you want to buy will always be $5000; Metcalfe´s Law - a network´s value grows proportionately to the number of its users squared; and Wirth´s Law - software is slowing faster than hardware is accelerating.
Keywords :
computer networks; computer software; information technology; integrated circuit technology; microcomputers; semiconductor technology; Machrone´s Law; Metcalfe´s Law; Moore´s Law; Rock´s Law; Wirth´s Law; network value; number of users; personal computer cost; semiconductor tools cost; software; technology laws; Aerospace engineering; Aerospace testing; CMOS technology; Electric resistance; Electrical engineering; Integrated circuit technology; Moore´s Law; Solid state circuits; Thumb; Voltage;
fLanguage :
English
Journal_Title :
Spectrum, IEEE
Publisher :
ieee
ISSN :
0018-9235
Type :
jour
DOI :
10.1109/MSPEC.2003.1249976
Filename :
1249976
Link To Document :
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