• DocumentCode
    836921
  • Title

    On the uses of expert judgment on complex technical problems

  • Author

    Keeney, Ralph L. ; Von Winterfeldt, Detlof

  • Author_Institution
    Dept. of Syst. Sci., Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
  • Volume
    36
  • Issue
    2
  • fYear
    1989
  • fDate
    5/1/1989 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    83
  • Lastpage
    86
  • Abstract
    The authors place in perspective the role and uses of expert judgment in examining complex technical and engineering problems. Specifically, they indicate how expert judgements are usually used in analyzing technical problems, how to improve the use of expert judgments, and how to interpret judgments in analysis. The value of quantifying expert judgments to complement the expert´s qualitative thinking and reasoning is stressed. The relationships between procedures to quantify judgments and the general principles of engineering are discussed.<>
  • Keywords
    engineering; engineering problems; expert judgment; Appraisal; Guidelines; Information analysis; Logic;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Engineering Management, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9391
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/17.18821
  • Filename
    18821