DocumentCode
845929
Title
The Elusive Future [Reflections]
Author
Lucky, R.W.
Volume
45
Issue
9
fYear
2008
Firstpage
20
Lastpage
20
Abstract
Why are we engineers so bad at making predictions? In countless panel discussions on the future of technology, I´m not sure I ever got anything right. As I look back on technological progress, I experience first retrospective surprise, then surprise that I´m surprised, because it all crept up on me when I wasn´t looking. How can something like Google feel so inevitable and yet be impossible to predict?
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Spectrum, IEEE
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9235
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/MSPEC.2008.4607922
Filename
4607922
Link To Document