• DocumentCode
    907456
  • Title

    Continuous sequential decision in the presence of a finite number of hypotheses

  • Author

    Posner, E.C. ; Rumsey, H., Jr.

  • Volume
    12
  • Issue
    2
  • fYear
    1966
  • fDate
    4/1/1966 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    248
  • Lastpage
    255
  • Abstract
    Given a finite probability space X and an a priori distribution P = P(0) = {p_{i}(0)} , exact expressions for minimum search time (to determine the one and only one nonzero mean process) are derived. Only one point i may be observed at a given time, in contrast to the more standard decision theory problem where all n processes are observed simultaneously. The problem is formulated in continuous time, as a limiting case of discrete-time hypothesis tests. The performance of the optimal strategy is shown to be far superior to the performance of some standard strategies.
  • Keywords
    Bayes procedures; Sequential decision procedures; Contracts; Decision theory; Error probability; Helium; Propulsion; Space technology; Testing; Turning;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9448
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TIT.1966.1053868
  • Filename
    1053868