DocumentCode
907456
Title
Continuous sequential decision in the presence of a finite number of hypotheses
Author
Posner, E.C. ; Rumsey, H., Jr.
Volume
12
Issue
2
fYear
1966
fDate
4/1/1966 12:00:00 AM
Firstpage
248
Lastpage
255
Abstract
Given a finite probability space
and an a priori distribution
, exact expressions for minimum search time (to determine the one and only one nonzero mean process) are derived. Only one point
may be observed at a given time, in contrast to the more standard decision theory problem where all n processes are observed simultaneously. The problem is formulated in continuous time, as a limiting case of discrete-time hypothesis tests. The performance of the optimal strategy is shown to be far superior to the performance of some standard strategies.
and an a priori distribution
, exact expressions for minimum search time (to determine the one and only one nonzero mean process) are derived. Only one point
may be observed at a given time, in contrast to the more standard decision theory problem where all n processes are observed simultaneously. The problem is formulated in continuous time, as a limiting case of discrete-time hypothesis tests. The performance of the optimal strategy is shown to be far superior to the performance of some standard strategies.Keywords
Bayes procedures; Sequential decision procedures; Contracts; Decision theory; Error probability; Helium; Propulsion; Space technology; Testing; Turning;
fLanguage
English
Journal_Title
Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on
Publisher
ieee
ISSN
0018-9448
Type
jour
DOI
10.1109/TIT.1966.1053868
Filename
1053868
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