Title :
No crystal ball in the software industry
Author :
Davis, Alan M. ; Comer, Edward R.
Author_Institution :
Colorado Univ., Colorado Springs, CO, USA
fDate :
7/1/1993 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
The results of a 1989 survey conducted to assess the software-engineering capabilities of 13 prospective corporate members are discussed in a historical perspective. It is suggested that a look back at these predictions is clear evidence that the software industry grossly underestimated the effect of new hardware technology and grossly overestimated the affect of new software technology. Some advice on planning for the future of a software organization is offered.<>
Keywords :
DP industry; software engineering; technological forecasting; corporate members; future planning; historical perspective; new hardware technology; new software technology; software industry; software organization; software-engineering; survey; Computer industry; Costs; Hardware; Intelligent networks; Local area networks; Project management; Quality management; Software quality; System testing; Workstations;
Journal_Title :
Software, IEEE
