Title :
Stochastic target hitting time and the problem of early retirement
Author :
Boda, Kang ; Filar, Jerzy A. ; Lin, Yuanlie ; Spanjers, Lieneke
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math. Sci., Tsinghua Univ., Beijing, China
fDate :
3/1/2004 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
We consider a problem of optimal control of a "retirement investment fund" over a finite time horizon with a target hitting time criteria. That is, we wish to decide, at each stage, what percentage of the current retirement fund to allocate into the limited number of investment options so that a decision maker can maximize the probability that his or her wealth exceeds a target x prior to his or her retirement. We use Markov decision processes with probability criteria to model this problem and give an example based on data from certain options available in an Australian retirement fund.
Keywords :
Markov processes; decision theory; investment; optimal control; probability; Australian retirement fund; Markov decision processes; early retirement; finite time horizon; optimal control; probability criteria; retirement investment fund; stochastic target hitting time; Australia Council; Finance; Investments; Lakes; Mathematical model; Mathematics; Optimal control; Random variables; Retirement; Stochastic processes;
Journal_Title :
Automatic Control, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TAC.2004.824469