Title :
Predicting customer behavior in telecommunications
Author :
Yan, Lian ; Wolniewicz, Richard H. ; Dodier, Robert
Author_Institution :
Aureon Biosci., Yonkers, NY, USA
Abstract :
The wireless service subscriber calls a customer service representative to complain about dropped calls. During the conversation with the customer, the CSR views a display that shows this customer´s probability of churn-switching from this service provider to another-as well as the most probable reasons to churn and the best strategy to retain this customer. The CSR then quickly responds to the subscriber according to the system´s recommendation. This is an intelligent customer-care system designed to predict customer behavior. Predicting customer churn is a component in the decision framework for retaining customers and maximizing profitability. Companies can use these probability and revenue estimates in a decision-theoretic framework to determine a churn intervention strategy and a profitability optimization strategy. Predicting customer behavior helps service providers build customer loyalty and maximize profitability. For the success of a project, data preparation is often a critical part of the predictive algorithm.
Keywords :
consumer behaviour; customer services; intelligent networks; profitability; telecommunication services; CSR; churn intervention strategy; customer behavior prediction; customer service representative; decision-theoretic framework; intelligent customer-care system; predictive algorithm; profitability maximisation; profitability optimization strategy; wireless service subscriber; Costs; Customer service; Displays; Industrial relations; Intelligent systems; Life estimation; Lifetime estimation; Profitability; Switches; Telecommunication computing;
Journal_Title :
Intelligent Systems, IEEE
DOI :
10.1109/MIS.2004.1274911