• DocumentCode
    938480
  • Title

    An algorithm for maximizing expected log investment return

  • Author

    Cover, Thomas M.

  • Volume
    30
  • Issue
    2
  • fYear
    1984
  • fDate
    3/1/1984 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    369
  • Lastpage
    373
  • Abstract
    Let the random (stock market) vector X \\geq 0 be drawn according to a known distribution function F(x), x \\in R^{m} . A log-optimal portfolio b^{\\ast } is any portfolio b achieving maximal expected \\log return W^{\\ast }=\\sup_{b} E \\ln b^{t}X , where the supremum is over the simplex b \\geq 0, \\sum _{i=1}^{m} b_{i} = 1 . An algorithm is presented for finding b^{\\ast } . The algorithm consists of replacing the portfolio b by the expected portfolio b^{\´}, b_{i}^{\´} = E(b_{i}X_{i}/b^{t}X) , corresponding to the expected proportion of holdings in each stock after one market period. The improvement in W(b) after each iteration is lower-bounded by the Kullback-Leibler information number D(b^{\´}|b) between the current and updated portfolios. Thus the algorithm monotonically improves the return W . An upper bound on W^{\\ast } is given in terms of the current portfolio and the gradient, and the convergence of the algorithm is established.
  • Keywords
    Finance; Chromium; Convergence; Distribution functions; H infinity control; Information theory; Investments; Portfolios; Random variables; Stock markets; Upper bound;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9448
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/TIT.1984.1056869
  • Filename
    1056869