Title :
Handling forecasting problems based on two-factors high-order fuzzy time series
Author :
Lee, Li-wei ; Wang, Li-Hui ; Chen, Shyi-Ming ; Leu, Yung-Ho
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Comput. Sci. & Inf. Eng., Nat. Taiwan Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Taipei, Taiwan
fDate :
6/1/2006 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
In our daily life, people often use forecasting techniques to predict weather, economy, population growth, stock, etc. However, in the real world, an event can be affected by many factors. Therefore, if we consider more factors for prediction, then we can get better forecasting results. In recent years, many researchers used fuzzy time series to handle prediction problems. In this paper, we present a new method to predict temperature and the Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX), based on the two-factors high-order fuzzy time series. The proposed method constructs two-factors high-order fuzzy logical relationships based on the historical data to increase the forecasting accuracy rate. The proposed method gets a higher forecasting accuracy rate than the existing methods.
Keywords :
economic forecasting; forecasting theory; fuzzy logic; fuzzy set theory; temperature; time series; Taiwan Futures Exchange; forecasting problem; high order fuzzy logic; temperature prediction; two factors high order fuzzy time series; Computer science; Councils; Economic forecasting; Fuzzy logic; Fuzzy reasoning; Fuzzy set theory; Fuzzy sets; Predictive models; Temperature; Weather forecasting; Fuzzy sets; fuzzy time series; max–min composition operations; two-factors high-order fuzzy logical relationships; two-factors high-order fuzzy time series;
Journal_Title :
Fuzzy Systems, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TFUZZ.2006.876367