كليدواژه :
بيكاري , جدول داده ـ ستانده , اشتغال زايي , برنامه ششم توسعه , بخش هاي كليدي , اشتغال مستقيم و غيرمستقيم
چكيده لاتين :
Nowadays unemployment has become one of the most
important issues and challenges of Iran`s economy. In order to achieve
the goals of the Sixth Development Plan, annual job creation of 952,379
people is required. Given the lack of government resources and the need
for their optimal allocation, identifying the most effective way to realize this job
creation is the aim of this research. According the to accountability method, after
aggregating and updating the output table of 1390 through the Ross method,
the employment rate of each sector was extracted for a unit change in the final
demand. Then, according to the employment rate, the relative importance
of the sectors was determined and finally; in order to achieve the employment
rate of 952,379 people per year, the adjusted relative importance was
calculated, and at the end, the employment growth rate of each sector was
obtained. The results of this study indicate that as for sectoral employment
growth, the sectors of public, social, personal and household services,
administrative and support services, education, construction, wholesale and
retail sales, repair of vehicles and goods, public administration and urban
services, with a growth rate of employment of 39/7, 27/6, 26/6, 01/5, 80/4,
77/4, respectively, had the highest growth rate of employment. But in terms of
the number of people employed in each sector, which predicates on the
number of people working in that sector, agriculture, hunting, forestry and
fishing, wholesaling and retailing, repairing vehicles and goods, building,
transportation, warehousing, and industry; respectively, with 187868, 157512,
141240,88288 and 77415 working people added, have the highest rate of job
creation. These findings can inspire policymakers for furthering and promoting
their policies to achieve the employment objective of the sixth plan.
