فرصت ها و تهديدهاي هوايي رژيم صهيونيستي در جنگ احتمالي آينده

Air Opportunity and Threats by the Zionist Regime in Probable Future War

رژﯾﻢ ﺻﻬﯿﻮﻧﯿﺴﺘﯽ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻀﻮر در ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎي ﻫﻤﺴﺎﯾﻪ و ﻧﺰدﯾﮑﯽ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺮزﻫﺎي ﺟﻐﺮاﻓﯿﺎﯾﯽ ﺟﻤﻬﻮري اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾـﺮان و ﺣﻀﻮر اﯾﻦ رژﯾﻢ و ﻧﯿﺰ ﮔﺴﺘﺮش رواﺑﻂ ﻫﻤﻪﺟﺎﻧﺒﻪ و ﻫﻤﮑﺎري راﻫﺒﺮد اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ- دﻓﺎﻋﯽ، ﻣﯽﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﺗﻬﺪﯾـﺪي ﺟـﺪي ﻋﻠﯿﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺟﻤﻬﻮري اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾﺮان در اﺑﻌﺎد ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺳﯿﺎﺳﯽ، ﻧﻈﺎﻣﯽ و اﻣﻨﯿﺘﯽ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ. در اﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ادﺑﯿﺎت ﻣﻮﺿﻮع و ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ﻧﻈﺮات ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن، ﭘﯿﺮاﻣﻮن ﻣﻮﺿﻮع اﺻﻠﯽ؛ ﯾﻌﻨﯽ »ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎ و ﺗﻬﺪﯾﺪﻫﺎي ﻫﻮاﯾﯽ رژﯾﻢ ﺻﻬﯿﻮﻧﯿﺴﺘﯽ در ﺟﻨﮓ اﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﯽ آﯾﻨﺪه« ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﯽ ﺻﻮرت ﭘﺬﯾﺮﻓﺖ. ﺑﺮاي دﺳﺘﯿﺎﺑﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺪف ﯾﺎدﺷﺪه ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن، ادﺑﯿﺎت ﻧﻈﺮي و ﭼﺎرﭼﻮب ﻧﻈﺮي ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ، در ﻧﻬﺎﯾﺖ 51 ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﻣﺆﺛﺮ در ﺗﻬﺎﺟﻢ ﻫﻮاﯾﯽ رژﯾﻢ ﯾﺎدﺷﺪه ﻋﻠﯿﻪ ج.ا.ا ﻣﻮرد ﺗﺄﯾﯿﺪ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺖ. ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻓـﻮق ﺑـﻪ ﺻـﻮرت آﻣﯿﺨﺘـﻪ و ﺑـﻪ روش ﺗﻮﺻـ ﯿﻔﯽ- ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻠـ ﯽ و ﭘﯿﻤﺎﯾﺸﯽ ﺑﻮده و ﺣﺠﻢ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ از ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﻣﻮرد ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﺸﺘﻤﻞ ﺑﺮ ﺗﻌﺪاد 70 ﻧﻔـﺮ از اﻓـﺮاد ﺻـﺎﺣﺐ ﻧﻈـﺮ و ﺧﺒـﺮه ﻣﺪﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ. ﭘﺲ از ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪوﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﻣﺤﯿﻂ، ﺗﻌﺪاد 9 ﻣﻮرد ﻓﺮﺻﺖ و 14 ﻣﻮرد ﺗﻬﺪﯾـﺪ ﺑـﻪ دﺳـﺖ آﻣـﺪه اﺳﺖ و ﺑﺮ ﻣﺒﻨﺎي وﺿﻊ ﻣﻮﺟﻮد، ﺗﺨﺼﯿﺺ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﻪﮐﺎرﮔﯿﺮي ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻪﻣﻨﻈـﻮر ﻣﺮﺗﻔـﻊ ﻧﻤـﻮدن ﺗﻬﺪﯾـﺪﻫﺎ ي ﻣﻮﺟﻮد اﻧﺠﺎمﺷﺪه و ﺗﻌﺪاد 7 راﻫﺒﺮد ﻣﻬﻢ اراﺋﻪ ﮔﺮدﯾﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﭘﺲ از ﺗﺄﯾﯿﺪ راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎي ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻠﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻬـﺎﺟﻢ ﻫـﻮ اﯾﯽ از ﻧﻈﺮ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺎن، از روش اوﻟﻮﯾﺖﺑﻨﺪي ﺗﺎﭘﺴﯿﺲ ﺟﻬﺖ رﺗﺒﻪﺑﻨﺪي راﻫﺒﺮدﻫﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪ و ﻣﻮرد ﺗﺄﯾﯿـ ﺪ ﺧﺒﺮﮔـﺎن ﻗـﺮار گرفت

The presence of Zionist Regime in neighboring countries, near to geographic borders of the Islamic republic of Iran and the subsequent development of full-scale relations and strategic defense-security cooperation could severely threaten the interests of the Islamic republic of Iran in different dimensions including security, military and politics. Meanwhile, an attempt was made in this research to conduct a thorough study of the subject and make use of the scholars opinions on the main subject of the research; i.e. “The Aerial opportunity and threats by the Zionist Regime in probable future war” in order to conduct a comprehensive research. To that end, 51 indicators which affected the Zionist Regime’s attacks against the Islamic Republic of Iran were identified based on the scholars’ ideas, theoretical literature and theoretical framework of the research. It is a mixed-method research done in the descriptive-analytical and survey method. The sample population was derived from the statistical population of 70 scholars and specialists. The data was obtained from interviews and questionnaires and from the specialists’ ideas. Data analysis was done through descriptive statistics, after analyzing environment obtain, 9 indicators opportunity and 14 indicators threats were endorsed by the scholars. Once the strategies were confirmed by the scholars, they were prioritized through TOPSIS. Finally, 7 strategies were obtained and confirmed by the scholars