مدلسازي رياضي به منظور شناسايي عوامل اثرگذار در پذيرش سامانه هاي نوين آبياري درمصرف بهينه آب كشاورزي (مطالعه موردي بخش باروق شهرستان مياندوآب)

Identify the factors affecting acceptance of modern irrigation systems used in Yaroogh district in Miandoab

ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪ ﮐﻤﺒﻮد ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ آب، اﺻﻠﯽ ﺗﺮﯾﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮع ﻣﻮرد ﺑﺤﺚ ﺟﻬﺎن در آﯾﻨﺪه ﺧﻮاﻫﺪ ﺑﻮد، زﯾﺮا ﺗﺎ ﺳﺎل 2050 ﻣﯿﻼدي ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ ﺟﻬﺎن ﺑـﻪ ﻣـﺮز 9/4 ﻣﯿﻠﯿﺎرد ﻧﻔﺮ ﺧﻮاﻫﺪ رﺳﯿﺪ و درﻧﺘﯿﺠﻪ ﺗﺎﻣﯿﻦ آب و ﻣﻮاد ﻏﺬاﯾﯽ و ﺣﻔﻆ ﻣﺤﯿﻂ زﯾﺴﺖ ﻣﻬﻤﺘﺮﯾﻦ دﻏﺪﻏﻪ ﻣﺪﯾﺮان و رﻫﺒﺮان ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎ ﺧﻮاﻫـﺪ ﺑـﻮد. ﻫﺪف اﯾﻦ ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ، ﻣﺪﻟﺴﺎزي رﯾﺎﺿﯽ ﺑـﻪ ﻣﻨﻈـﻮر ﺷﻨﺎﺳـﺎﯾﯽ ﻋﻮاﻣـﻞ اﺛﺮﮔـﺬار در ﭘـﺬﯾﺮش ﺳـﺎﻣﺎﻧﻪ ﻫـﺎي ﻧـﻮﯾﻦ آﺑﯿـﺎري درﻣﺼـﺮف ﺑﻬﯿﻨـﻪ آب ﮐﺸﺎورزي)ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻣﻮردي ﺑﺨﺶ ﺑﺎروق ﺷﻬﺮﺳﺘﺎن ﻣﯿﺎﻧﺪوآب( ﺑﻮده اﺳﺖ. ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ از ﻟﺤﺎظ ﻣﺎﻫﯿﺖ ﻣﻮﺿﻮع، از ﻧﻮع ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻫﺎي ﮐﻤﯽ و از ﻧﻈﺮ ﻫﺪف از ﻧﻮع ﮐﺎرﺑﺮدي اﺳﺖ. ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺟﻤﻊ آوري اﻃﻼﻋﺎت ﺑﺮاي ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﯾﯽ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﺛﺮﮔﺬار از ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻣﺤﻘﻖ ﺳﺎﺧﺖ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪ. ﭘﺎﯾﺎﯾﯽ ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺿﺮﯾﺐ آﻟﻔﺎي ﮐﺮوﻧﺒﺎخ ﻣﻮرد ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﮐﻪ اﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺪار ﺑﺮاي ﮐﻠﯿﻪ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻫﺎي ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﺑـﺎﻻي 0/78 ﮔـﺰارش ﮔﺮدﯾﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﻫﻤﭽﻨﯿﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ رواﯾﯽ ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ از ﭘﺎﻧﻞ ﻣﺘﺨﺼﺼﺎن ﺑﺎ در ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻫـﺪف ﺗﺤﻘﯿـﻖ در ﭘﺮﺳﺸـﻨﺎﻣﻪ اﻋﻤـﺎل ﮔﺮدﯾـﺪ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ را ﺑﻬﺮه رداران آﺑﯽ ﺷﻬﺮﺳﺘﺎن ﻣﯿﺎﻧﺪوآب ﺑﺨﺶ ﺑﺎروق ﺗﺸﮑﯿﻞ داده اﻧﺪ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﺷﺎﻣﻞ 125 ﻧﻔﺮ ﺑﻮده ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ اﺳـﺘﻔﺎده از روش ﺳﺮﺷﻤﺎري، ﻫﻤﮕﯽ ﻣﻮرد آﻧﺎن ﻣﻮرد ﻣﻄﺎﻟﻌﻪ ﻗﺮار ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ. ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ داده ﻫﺎ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻧﺮم اﻓﺰار AMOS SPSS اﻧﺠﺎم ﺷﺪ. ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﺗﺤﻠﯿـﻞ ﻫﻤﺒﺴﺘﮕﯽ و ﻣﻌﺎدﻻت ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎري ﻧﺸﺎن داد ﮐﻪ ﺑﯿﻦ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ 4 ﮔﺎﻧﻪ اﺛﺮﮔﺬار ﻧﮕﺮش، آﻣﻮزش، اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﯽ و اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي و ﭘﺬﯾﺮش ﺳﺎﻣﺎﻧﻪ ﻫـﺎي ﻧـﻮﯾﻦ آﺑﯿﺎري ارﺗﺒﺎط ﻣﻌﻨﯽ داري وﺟﻮد دارد. ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﯾﻪ ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﺑﻪ دﺳﺖ آﻣﺪه از ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎد ﻣـﯽ ﺷـﻮد ﺑـﻪ ﻣﻨﻈـﻮر ارﺗﻘـﺎ داﻧـﺶ ﻓﻨـﯽ ﺑﻬـﺮه ﺑـﺮداران ﺑﺴﺘﺮﺳﺎزي ﻻزم ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺑﺮﮔﺰاري دوره ﻫﺎي آﻣﻮزﺷﯽ آﺷﻨﺎﯾﯽ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻮدﻣﻨﺪي ﻫﺎي ﮐﺎرﺑﺮد ﻓﻨﺎوري ﺳﺎﻣﺎﻧﻪ ﻫﺎي ﻧـﻮﯾﻦ آﺑﯿـﺎري از ﻃﺮﯾـﻖ ﺑﺨـﺶ دوﻟﺘﯽ و در ﮐﻨﺎر آن ﺑﺨﺶ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﯽ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺤﻮرﯾﺖ آﻣﻮزش ﻫﺎي ﻓﻨﯽ و اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي ﻓﺮاﻫﻢ ﮔﺮدد

Water resources shortage is the most important issue discussed regarding the future because the world population will have been over than 9.4 billion as of 2050. As a result, the states will concern mainly the water supply, food and protection of the environment. This research was practiced to identify the factors affecting acceptance of modern irrigation systems used in Yaroogh district in Miandoab. This research is quantitative regarding its nature and applied regarding its goal. Data was collected using a standard-made questionnaire for identifying affecting factors. The reliability of questionnaire was assessed through Cronbach's alpha which was >0.78 for all sections of the questionnaire. To assess the validity of the questionnaire, the board of experts was used considering the goal of research. The research population includes utilizers of water in Baroogh district. The statistical society including 125 subjects that have been studied using survey method. The data was analyzed using SPSS and AMOS software. Results obtained from correlation analysis and structural equations showed that there is a significant relationship among 4 affective factors including attitude, education, socioeconomic factors and acceptance of the modern irrigation systems. Based on the results obtained from this research, it is suggested the public and private sectors focusing on the economic and technical training to predispose the utilizers' knowledge promotion through holding training courses for having them to get familiarized with technology use in modern irrigation systems.