بررسي تاثير سياستهاي ارزي و تجاري بر ساختار بازار جهاني پسته ايران

Investigation of Effects of Commercial and Exchange Investigation of Effects of Commercial and Exchange Market

According to the previous investigation on effects of exchange rate on agricultural products exporting supply, it was seen that real exchange rate misalignment has been a negative effect. Also it was seen that reduction of controls on foreign trade has caused the growth of this sector. Regarding this matter that pistachio is the most important agricultural exporting product of Iran and this country has obtained the first rank on producing and exporting of this product, it seems necessary to take any action that could protect the position of Iran. In this study we calculate some indexes to show the effects of commercial and exchange policies on production and export of Iranian pistachio and the structure of pistachio global market and the relations between variables are tested through Johanson cointegration test and Granger causality test. Results indicated that the more shift the exchange rate to the itʹs equilibrium amount, the more decrease the controls on the trade of this product and the more shift the global market structure to monopoly market and Iran can act such as a monopoly firm.