كليدواژه :
گذار دوم جمعيتي , رويكرد عقلاني اقتصادي , تحصيلات دانشگاهي , ميزان بيكاري , طلاق
چكيده فارسي :
طلاق يكي از مهمترين مسائل اجتماعي و جمعيتي امروز كشور به شمار مي‌آيد. در دو دهه اخير ميزان هاي طلاق در كشور روند صعودي داشته است. در مطالعه حاضر تلاش شد كه وضعيت و روند تغييرات طلاق در استان فارس بررسي شود. براي اين هدف اطلاعات سرشماري ها و نيز داده هاي ثبت احوال طي سال هاي 1390 تا 1398 تحليل شد. رويكردهاي عقلاني اقتصادي و گذار دوم جمعيت شناختي به عنوان مباني نظري تحقيق حاضر در نظر گرفته شد. يافته ها نشان داد كه نسبت طلاق به ازدواج طي سال هاي مورد بررسي روند صعودي داشته است. بيشتر طلاق ها در فاصله پنج تا ده سال بعد از ازدواج و در سنين اوج فرزندآوري اتفاق مي افتند. يافته ها همچنين نشان داد كه بين ميزان بيكاري مردان و نسبت طلاق همبستگي مثبت و در مقابل بين ميزان بيكاري زنان و نسبت طلاق همبستگي منفي وجود دارد. بين نسبت جمعيت با تحصيلات دانشگاهي و نسبت طلاق همبستگي مثبت وجود دارد. با توجه به نتايج اين پژوهش به نظر مي رسد كه كاهش ميزان بيكاري مردان و برگزاري كلاس هاي آموزشي براي زوجيني كه پنج سال از زندگي مشترك آنها گذشته است مي تواند شمار و نسبت طلاق را كاهش دهد.
چكيده لاتين :
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
Divorce is one of the most important social and demographic problems in Iran, today. Divorce rate has dramatically been raised in two past decades. The present study aimed to investigate the status and trend of divorce changes in Fars province. For the above purpose, the census data and civil registration statistic during 2011-2019 were analyzed. Economic approach and second demographic transition were considered as theoretical framework. Findings showed that divorce ratio has remarkably increased during 2011-2019 period in Fars province. The majority of divorces occur between 4 to 10 years after get married. Aged 30-34 individuals have registered the most number of divorce in Fars province. Findings also indicated that there was a positive correlation between unemployment rate for men and divorce ratio, while the mentioned correlation coefficient was negative for women. There was a negative correlation between population ratio with university degree and divorce ratio. According to the results of this study, reducing the unemployment rate for men and holding training courses for couples who are on fifth year of their marriage may decrease the divorce ration.
