تاثير توسعه مالي و دولت الكترونيك بر مصرف برق شواهدي ازكشورهاي گروه 20

Impact of Financial Development and E-government onElectricity Consumption Evidence in G20 Countries

اﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﺑﻪ دﻧﺒﺎل ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ اﺛﺮ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻣﺎﻟﯽ، ﮔﺴﺘﺮش دوﻟﺖ اﻟﮑﺘﺮوﻧﯿﮏ، ﺷﻬﺮﻧﺸﯿﻨﯽ و رﺷﺪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي ﺑﺮ ﻣﺼﺮف ﺑﺮق در ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎي ﮔﺮوه 20 در دوره زﻣﺎﻧﯽ 2018-1980 اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺪﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر دادهﻫﺎي ﻣﺮﺑﻮط ﺑﻪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎد اﯾﺮان ﻧﯿﺰ در ﻣﺪل ﻣﻨﻈﻮر ﺷﺪه و ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از روش ﮔﺸﺘﺎورﻫﺎي ﺗﻌﻤﯿﻢﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻪﺻﻮرت ﭘﺎﻧﻞ، ﺿﺮاﯾﺐ ﻣﻮردﻧﻈﺮ ﺑﺮآورد ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽدﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ ﺑﺎ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﺷﻬﺮﻧﺸﯿﻨﯽ و رﺷﺪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي ﻣﺼﺮف ﺑﺮق اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ و ﺑﺎ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ دوﻟﺖ اﻟﮑﺘﺮوﻧﯿﮏ و ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻣﺎﻟﯽ ﻣﺼﺮف ﺑﺮق ﮐﺎﻫﺶ ﻣﯽﯾﺎﺑﺪ. ﺑﺮ اﯾﻦ اﺳﺎس ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎد ﻣﯽﺷﻮد ﺗﺎ در ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪرﯾﺰي ﺑﺮاي اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﻇﺮﻓﯿﺖ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ ﺑﺮق ﮐﺸﻮر ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎي ﺟﺎﯾﮕﺰﯾﻨﯽ ﻧﻈﯿﺮ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ دوﻟﺖ اﻟﮑﺘﺮوﻧﯿﮏ و ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ ﻣﺎﻟﯽ ﻫﻤﺮاه ﺑﺎ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﻇﺮﻓﯿﺖ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ ﺑﺮق ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺷﻮد

Energy as one of the factors of production is very important in maintaining the stability and stability of economic production in countries. Among these, the most important factor of energy in the growth of GDP is the demand for electricity. This paper researches to examine the effect of increased financial development, e-government expansion, urbanization and economic growth on electricity consumption in the G20 countries in the period 1980-2018. For this purpose, data related to Iran's economy are included in the model and the desired coefficients are estimated using the generalized torque method as a panel. The results show that with increasing urbanization and economic growth, electricity consumption increases and with increasing e-government and financial development, electricity consumption decreases. Accordingly, it is suggested that in planning to increase the country's electricity production capacity, alternative programs such as more attention to e-government development and financial development along with increasing the electricity industry production capacity should be considered.