عنوان مقاله :
تأثير مزيت نسبي فعاليت‌هاي اقتصادي بر توليد ناخالص داخلي استان‌ها
عنوان به زبان ديگر :
The Effect of the Comparative Advantage of Economic Activities on the GDP of the Provinces
پديد آورندگان :
آﻗﺎﻣﺤﻤﺪي، ﻧﺮﮔﺲ دانشگاه آزاد اسلامي واحد اراك - گروه اقتصاد , ﺣﺎﺟﯽ، ﻏﻼﻣﻌﻠﯽ دانشگاه آزاد اسلامي واحد اراك - گروه اقتصاد , ﻏﻔﺎري، ﻫﺎدي دانشگاه پيام نور مركز اراك - گروه اقتصاد , ﻏﻔﺎري آﺷﺘﯿﺎﻧﯽ، ﭘﯿﻤﺎن دانشگاه آزاد اسلامي واحد اراك - گروه مديريت بازرگاني
كليدواژه :
مزيت نسبي , رشد اقتصادي , پانل پويا , فعاليت‌هاي اقتصادي
چكيده فارسي :
هدف اﯾﻦ ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪ ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﺰﯾﺖ ﻧﺴﺒﯽ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﯿﺖ ﻫﺎي ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﺑﺮ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ ﻧﺎﺧﺎﻟﺺ داﺧﻠﯽ اﺳﺘﺎن ﻫﺎ در ﺑﺎز زﻣﺎﻧﯽ 1383-1393 اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺮاي اﯾﻦ ﻣﻨﻈﻮر از داده ﻫﺎي ﺳﺎﻟﻨﺎﻣﻪ ﻫﺎي آﻣﺎري و ﺣﺴﺎب ﻫﺎي ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ اي ﻣﺮﮐﺰ
آﻣﺎر اﯾﺮان ﺑﺮاي 30 اﺳﺘﺎن اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﺑﺮآورد ﻣﺪل ﻫﺎ در ﻗﺎﻟﺐ ﻣﺪل ﭘﺎﻧﻞ ﭘﻮﯾﺎ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ر ﮔﺸﺘﺎورﻫﺎي ﺗﻌﻤﯿﻢ ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ارزﯾﺎﺑﯽ ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﻧﺘﺎﯾﺞ ﺑﺮآورد ﻣﺪل ﻫﺎ ﻣﺆﯾﺪ آن اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﻣﺰﯾﺖ ﻧﺴﺒﯽ
در ﺳﻪ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻋﻤﺪه ﮐﺸﺎورزي، ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻤﺎن و ﺧﺪﻣﺎت ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﺜﺒﺖ و ﻣﻌﻨﺎداري ﺑﺮ رﺷﺪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي اﺳﺘﺎن ﻫﺎ ﺑ ﺗﺮﺗﯿﺐ ﺑﻪ ﻣﯿﺰان 0/08 ،0/49 و 0/07 درﺻﺪ دارﻧﺪ. در ﺣﺎﻟﯽ ﮐﻪ ﺷﺎﺧﺺ ﻣﺰﯾﺖ ﻧﺴﺒﯽ ﺑﺨﺶ ﺻﻨﻌﺖ، ﻣﻌﺪن و اﻧﺮژي ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﻨﻔﯽ ﺑﻪ ﻣﯿﺰان 0/15 را ﺑﺮ رﺷﺪ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي اﺳﺘﺎن ﻫﺎ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ، ﮐﻪ اﯾﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﻨﻔﯽ
ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮاﻧﺪ ﻧﺎﺷﯽ از اﺛﺮﮔﺬاري ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮ ﺳﺎﯾﺮ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻫﺎ ﺑﺮ ﺗﻮﻟﯿﺪ ﻧﺎﺧﺎﻟﺺ داﺧﻠﯽ اﺳﺘﺎن ﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ. ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑ ﯾﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻫﺎي ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ و ﺗﻔﺎوت ﻣﯿﺰان اﺛﺮﮔﺬاري ﻣﺰﯾﺖ ﻧﺴﺒﯽ ﺑﺮ ﺑﺨﺶ ﻫﺎي ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ، ﭘﯿﺸﻨﻬﺎد ﻣﯽ ﺷﻮد در ﻣﺴﯿﺮ ﺗﺒﺪﯾﻞ ﻫﺮ اﺳﺘﺎن ﯾﺎ ﺷﻬﺮﺳﺘﺎن ﺑﻪ ﻗﻄﺐ اﻗﺘﺼﺎدي زﯾﺮﺑﺨﺶ ﻫﺎي ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ، اﻗﺪاﻣﺎت ﻻزم ﺻﻮرت ﭘﺬﯾﺮد
چكيده لاتين :
Although economic growth is affected by the growth of factors of production, but according to the pattern of endogenous growth, other variables also affect economic growth. In this study, the effect of the comparative advantage of different activities on the GDP of the provinces in the period 2004-2014 has been used. For this purpose, the data of statistical yearbooks and regional accounts of the Statistics Center of Iran for 30 provinces have been used. The estimation of the models has been evaluated in the form of a dynamic panel model using the GMM technique. The results of estimating the models confirm that the comparative advantage index in the three major sectors of agriculture, construction and services have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth of the provinces by 0.49, 0.08 and 0.07 percent, respectively. While the index of comparative advantage of industry, mining and energy sector shows a negative impact of 0.15 on the economic growth of the provinces, this negative impact can be due to the greater impact of other sectors on the GDP of the provinces.
عنوان نشريه :
مدلسازي اقتصادي
