تاثير تحولات ژئوپلتيك كشورهاي حاشيه جنوبي خليج فارس با محوريت عربستان بر امنيت ملي جمهوري اسلامي

The Impact of the Geopolitical Developments in the Countries on the Southern Border of the Persian Gulf Particularly Saudi Arabia) on the National Security of Iran

ﭘﻮﯾﺎﯾﯽ ﻫﺎي ژﺋﻮﭘﻠﯿﺘﯿﮑﯽ در ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﻫﻤﻮاره اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ ﺟﻤﻬﻮري اﺳــﻼﻣﯽ اﯾــﺮان را در ﻃــ ﯽ ﭼﻨــﺪ دﻫﻪ اﺧﯿﺮ از ﺧﻮﯾﺶ ﻣﺘﺎﺛﺮ ﻧﻤ ﻮده اﺳﺖ. از ﺟﻤﻠﻪ اﯾﻦ ﭘﻮﯾﺎﯾﯽ ﻫﺎ ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮان ﺑﻪ اﻓﺮاﯾﺶ ﺗــﻨﺶ و رﻗﺎﺑــﺖ ﻣﯿــﺎن ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎن ﺳﻌﻮدي و ﺟﻤﻬﻮري اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾﺮان ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺣــﻮزه ﻧﻔــﻮذ ، ﮔﺴــﺘﺮش ﺣﻀــﻮر اﯾــﺎﻻت ﻣﺘﺤــﺪه در ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس در ﻗﺎﻟﺐ ﺗﺎﺳﯿﺲ ﭘﺎﯾﮕﺎه ﻫﺎي ﻧﻈــﺎﻣﯽ و درﯾــﺎﯾﯽ ، و در ﻧﻬﺎﯾــﺖ، اﻓــﺰاﯾﺶ ﺗﻌــﺎﻣﻼت اﻋﻀــﺎي ﺷﻮراي ﻫﻤﮑﺎري ﺧﻠﯿﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﺑ ﺎ اﺳﺮاﺋﯿﻞ اﺷﺎره ﮐﺮد. ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﺑﻪ اﻫﻤﯿﺖ ﻣﻮﺿﻮع ، اﯾــﻦ ﭘــﮋوﻫﺶ ﺑــﺎ ﯾــﮏ روﯾﮑﺮد ﺟﺎﻣﻊ ﺑﺪﻧﺒﺎل ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﮕﯽ ﺗﺎﺛﯿﺮ ﮔﺬاري ﭘﻮﯾﺎﯾﯽ ﻫﺎي ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ اي در ﺧﻠــﯿﭻ ﻓــﺎرس ﺑــﺮ اﻣﻨﯿــﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ ﺟﻤﻬﻮري اﺳﻼﻣﯽ اﯾﺮان اﺳﺖ . در اﯾﻦ راﺳﺘﺎ، اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺑﺪﻧﺒﺎل ﭘﺎﺳﺨﮕﻮﯾﯽ ﺑﻪ اﯾﻦ ﺳــﻮال ﻣﺤــﻮري اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ، ﺗﺤﻮﻻت ژﺋﻮﭘﻠﯿﺘﯿﮑ ﯽ ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎي ﺟﻨﻮﺑﯽ ﺧﻠــﯿﺞ ﻓــﺎرس ﺑــﺎ ﻣﺤﻮرﯾــﺖ ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘ ﺎن ﺳــﻌﻮدي ﭼــﻪ ﺗﺎﺛﯿﺮي ﺑﺮ اﻣﻨﯿﺖ ﻣﻠﯽ اﯾﺮان داﺷﺘﻪ اﺳﺖ؟ ﯾ ﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻫ ﺎي ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫــﺪ ، ﻋﻮاﻣــﻞ ژﺋﻮﭘﻮ ﻟﯿ ﺘ ﯿــ ﮏ ﺧﻠــ ﯿ ﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﺑﻪ ﺗﻨﻬ ﺎﯾﯽ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ا ﯾ ﺠﺎد ﻧﺎاﻣ ﻨﯽ و ﺗﻨﺶ ﻧﯿ ﺴﺖ ، اﻣﺎ وﻗ ﺘﯽ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ د ﯾ ﮕﺮ ﻫﻤﺮاه ﺷﻮد، ﻣﯽ ﺗﻮ اﻧﻨــ ﺪ ﺗــﻨﺶ زا ﮔﺮدد. از آﻧﺠﺎ ﮐـﻪ ﻋ ﻮاﻣـﻞ ژﺋﻮﭘ ﻠﯿ ﺘ ﯿ ﮏ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮرت ﺗﺪر ﯾ ﺠ ﯽ ﺷـﮑﻞ ﮔﺮﻓﺘـﻪ اﻧـــﺪ، از اﯾــ ﻦ رو ﺗــﺄ ﺛﯿ ﺮ ﻧﺴــﺒﺘﺎ ﭘ ﺎﯾ ﺪار ي از ﺧﻮد ﺑﺮﺟ ﺎي ﻣ ﯽ ﮔﺬارﻧﺪ.ﺷﺮ اﯾ ﻂ ژﺋﻮﭘﻮ ﻟﯿ ﺘ ﯿ ﮏ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ و ﮐﺸﻮرﻫ ﺎي آن ﺑﻪ ﻧﺤﻮ ي اﺳــﺖ ﮐــﻪ ﺑـــ ﯽ ﺛﺒـﺎ ﺗﯽ در ﻫﺮ ﯾ ﮏ از ﮐﺸﻮرﻫﺎﻓﺮاﺗـﺮ از ﻣﺮزﻫـ ﺎﯾ ﺸﺎن اﺛـﺮﮔﺬار اﺳــﺖ .ﻟــﺬا ﺣــﻞ اﯾــ ﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻗﺸــﺎت ﻃــﻮﻻ ﻧﯽ و دﺳ ﺘﯿ ﺎ ﺑﯽ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻌﺎد ل اﻣﺮ ي اﺟﺘﻨﺎب ﻧﺎﭘﺬﺑﺮ اﺳﺖ .ﺧ ﻠﯿ ﺞ ﻓﺎرس ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ ﻫــﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ اي ﻧ ﯿ ﺎزﻣﻨــﺪ ﺛﺒــ ﺎت و اﻣ ﻨﯿــ ﺖ اﺳﺖ و اﻣ ﻨﯿ ﺖ آن را ﺑ ﺎﯾ ﺪ ﺻﺮﻓﺎ در ﺧﻮد ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺟﺴﺘﺠﻮ ﻧﻤﻮد . ﻫﻤﮕﺮ اﯾﯽ و ﺗﻌــﺎﻣﻼت دو ﯾــ ﺎ ﭼﻨــﺪ ﺟﺎﻧﺒــﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ا ي ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮان راه ﺣ ﻠﯽ ﺑﺮ اي ﻧﺰد ﯾ ﮑ ﯽ ﮐﺸــﻮرﻫﺎ و ﺛﺒــﺎت داﺋﻤــ ﯽ آ ﻧﻬــ ﺎ ﺑ ﺎﯾــ ﺪ ﻣــﻮرد ﺗﻮﺟــﻪ ﻗﺮارﮔ ﯿــ ﺮد . » اﻣ ﻨﯿ ﺖ ﺟﻤﻌ ﯽ « ﺗﻨﻬﺎ راﻫﺒﺮد ﻣﻮﺛﺮﺑﺮ اي ﺗﻀﻤ ﯿ ﻦ اﻣ ﻨﯿ ﺖ ﮐﺸﻮرﻫ ﺎي ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﭘﯿ ﺸﻨﻬﺎد ﻣ ﯽ ﮔ ﺮدد

Geopolitical visas in the Persian Gulf have always affected the national security of the Islamic Republic of Iran in recent decades. These dynamics include escalating tensions and rivalries between Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran over spheres of influence, expanding the US presence in the Persian Gulf through the establishment of military and naval bases, and, ultimately, increasing interactions between Gulf Cooperation Council members. Persia pointed to Israel. Due to the importance of this issue, this study seeks to investigate how regional dynamics in the Persian Gulf affect the national security of the Islamic Republic of Iran with a comprehensive approach. In this regard, this study seeks to answer the central question: What effect has the geopolitical developments in the southern countries of the Persian Gulf, centered on Saudi Arabia, had on Iran's national security? Findings show that the geopolitical factors of the Persian Gulf alone are not the cause of insecurity and stress, but when combined with other factors, they can be stressful. As geographical and geopolitical factors are gradually formed, they have a relatively stable effect. The geopolitical conditions of the region and its countries are such that instability in each country exceeds their borders. These long conflicts and the achievement of balance are inevitable.