عوامل و زمينه هاي گرايش به گروه هاي تكفيري؛ بررسي موردي مناطق جنوبي استان كرمان

Factors and Bases of Tendency to “Takfiri Groups”; Case Study in Southern Regions of Kerman Province

در اﯾﻦ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ زﻣﯿﻨﻪﻫﺎي ﮔﺮاﯾﺶ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮوهﻫﺎي ﺗﮑﻔﯿﺮي در ﻣﻨـﺎﻃﻖ ﺟﻨـﻮﺑﯽ اﺳـﺘﺎن ﮐﺮﻣـﺎن ﻣـﻮرد ﺑﺮرﺳـﯽ و آزﻣﻮن ﺗﺠﺮﺑﯽ ﻗﺮار ﻣﯽ ﮔﯿﺮد. روش ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ از ﻧﻮع ﮐﻤّﯽ ﺑﻮده و ﺑـﺮاي ﺟﻤـﻊآوري دادهﻫـﺎي ﻣـﻮرد ﻧﯿـﺎز از ﭘﺮﺳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده ﺷﺪه اﺳﺖ. ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ آﻣﺎري ﺗﺤﻘﯿﻖ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺷﻬﺮوﻧﺪان ﺟﻨﻮب اﺳﺘﺎن ﮐﺮﻣﺎن اﺳﺖ. ﺣﺠﻢ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از ﻓﺮﻣﻮل ﮐﻮﮐﺮان 384ﻧﻔﺮ و ﺷﯿﻮه ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﮔﯿﺮي، ﺗﺼﺎدﻓ ﯽ ﻣﺘﻨﺎﺳﺐ ﺑﺎ ﺟﻤﻌﯿﺖ ﻣـﯽ ﺑﺎﺷـﺪ. دادهﻫـﺎي ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺑﺎ ﮐﻤﮏ ﻧﺮماﻓﺰار آﻣﺎري Spss و ﺑﺎ اﺳﺘﻔﺎده از روشﻫﺎي آﻣﺎري ﺗﻮﺻﯿﻔﯽ و اﺳﺘﻨﺒﺎﻃﯽ ﻣﻮرد ﺗﺠﺰﯾﻪ و ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﻗﺮار ﻣﯽ ﮔﯿﺮﻧﺪ. ﻓﺮﺿﯿﮥ ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ اﯾﻦ اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻧﯽ و ﻫﻢاﻓﺰاﯾﯽ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ و زﻣﯿﻨﻪﻫﺎي ﻓـﺮدي، ﻣﻠﯽ و ﻓﺮاﻣﻠﯽ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ اﻓﺰاﯾﺶ ﮔﺮاﯾﺶ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮوهﻫﺎي ﺗﮑﻔﯿﺮي در ﺟﻨﻮب اﺳﺘﺎن ﮐﺮﻣـﺎن ﺷـﺪه اﺳـﺖ. ﯾﺎﻓﺘـﻪﻫـﺎي ﭘﮋوﻫﺶ ﺣﺎﮐﯽ از آن اﺳﺖ ﮐﻪ در ﻋﯿﻦ ﺗﻔﺎوت ﻣﯿﺎن ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ ﺳﻄﺢ ﻓﺮدي، ﻣﻠﯽ و ﻓﺮاﻣﻠﯽ ، ﺑﯿﻦ ﻫﻤـﻪ آﻧﻬـﺎ و ﮔﺮاﯾﺶ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮوهﻫﺎي ﺗﮑﻔﯿﺮي در ﺟﻨﻮب اﺳﺘﺎن ﮐﺮﻣﺎن راﺑﻄ ﮥ ﻣﺜﺒـﺖ و ﻣﻌﻨـﺎدار وﺟـﻮد دارد. ﻧﺘـﺎﯾﺞ ﺗﺤﻠﯿـﻞ رﮔﺮﺳﯿﻮﻧﯽ ﻧﺸﺎن ﻣﯽ دﻫﺪ ﮐﻪ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ ﺳﻄﺢ ﻣﻠﯽ ﺑﯿﺸﺘﺮﯾﻦ ﺗﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﻌﻨﺎدار ﺑﺮ ﮔـﺮاﯾﺶ ﺑـﻪ ﮔـﺮوهﻫـﺎي ﺗﮑﻔﯿـﺮي را دارﻧﺪ و ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ و زﻣﯿﻨﻪﻫﺎي ﺳﻄﺢ ﻓﺮاﻣﻠﯽ و ﻓﺮدي در ردهﻫﺎي ﺑﻌﺪي ﻗﺮار ﻣﯽ ﮔﯿﺮﻧﺪ.

In this research, the factors and bases of tendency to Takfiri groups are examined and empirically tested in the southern regions of Kerman province. The research method for collecting data is quantitative in which questionnaire is used to collect the required data. The statistical population of the study consists the citizens of southern regions of Kerman province. The sample size is 384 people using the Cochran formula and the sampling method is randomized population size. The research data are analysed using descriptive and inferential statistics based on SPSS statistical software. The research hypothesis is that synchronization and synergy of the effects of individual, national and transnational factors and bases have increased the tendency to Takfiri groups in the south of Kerman. The findings of the research show that, while there is difference between the individual, national and transnational level factors and bases, there is a positive and significant relationship between those and tendency to Takfiri groups in south of Kerman. The results of regression analysis show that the national level factors have the most significant effect on the tendency to Takfiri groups, and the transnational and individual level factors and bases are in the next category.