تحليل نوسان هاي اقتصاد ايران بر مبناي ادوار تجاري و چگونگي مديريت آن

An Empirical Analysis on Iranʹs Economic Fluctuations

In the case of macroeconomic fluctuations in Iran, the general trend of time series is studied. Analyzing the behaviors of economic variables Regains an investigution on how they are affected by different shocks. The results show that oil revenue is the most explanatory variable among these which affect the manufacturing sector. So the exogenous and external disruptions affect Iranʹs economy. Studying the relationships of progressive variables with trade cycles fluctuations indicate that in addition to oil revenue, the cash amount is of the most capability to forecast Irenʹs economic changes.