نقش محل سكونت ، ساعت روز و تاريخچه ي سفر در انتخاب مقصد سفرهاي هيچ سرخانه

RESIDENCE LOCATION, TIME-OF-DAY, AND HISTORY DEPENDENCIES OF DESTINATION CHOICE IN NON-HOME BASED TRIPS

In this study a sequential model of daily travel patterns is formulated that consists of home location, time-of-day, and activity history dependent models of activity and destination choice submodels of non-home based trips. The model development takes into account the interdependencies among the choices and the constraints imposed on the movement in time and space. The empirical analysis on a data set from the city of Mashhad shows that non-home-based destination choice is critically dependent on the individualʹs residence location and that activity choice is influenced only marginally by the accessibility of the origin location. As a practical and immediate modification of non-home-based destination choice models, this study proposes the inclusion of destination-to-home travel time as a factor that enables more realistic depletion of spatial travel patterns. The results indicate that the simplest expression of history of activity engagements is an adequate descriptor of activity choices. The study results demonstrate that time-of-day variable imposes a constrained environment upon the daily activity participation decisions.