اثرات افزايش صادرات بخشهاي كشاورزي و صنعت بر اقتصاد ايران : تحليلي در چارچوب ماتريس حسابداري اجتماعي

A social accounting matrix (SAM) was used as an analytical model to investigate the mutual effects of export expansion in agriculture and manufacturing sectors as well as the social and economic: impacts of this policy on the Iranian economy. The effects ofʹ the above policies were analyzed within several scenarios including a 25 percent increase in exports ofʹ agriculture and manufacturing products, a 50 percents rise in exports of horticulture products and a 25 percentrise in all other agricultural products, and a 1000 thousands Rials increase in the exports of agriculture and manufacturing products. The simulation results show that the policy emphasizing export promotion. in agricultural sector comparing to the policy giving priority to the export of manufacturing products results in. a faster economic growth in our country. Based on the results of this study, following the policy of agricultural export promotion, while causing growth of Iranian economic sectors, leads to a better income distribution in. Iran.. The results of the study reveal the filet that, because agricultural sector has a great interrelationship with the other economic sectors, it can play an. important role in motivating overall economic activities in Iran.