بررسي رابطه رشد اقتصادي‌، اشتغال و صادرات در بخش كشاورزي ايران (با تاكيد بر سياستهاي ارزي و تجاري‌)

An inspection of the relationship between economical growth, employment and export in agricultural sector in Iran (with emphasis on commercial and currency policies)

The economical growth of agriculture and the improvement of its export as fundamental objectives in the country economical plans on one hand and unemployment and expectations of generating employment by economical sectors including agriculture on the other hand have caused simultaneous attention to the three sensitive an important above- mentioned variables in regulating the agricultural policies and the way these variables are related is also of importance. For the very same purpose, in this study by using the statistics related to agricultural sector from 1971 to 2004 and by drawing on methods of econometrics, we have inspected the effective factors on economical growth in agricultural sector, its employment and export and the prevailing link between them. The resulting indicates the effect of employment, capitals and productivity of producing factors on economical growth of agriculture, the effect of agriculture capitals and export on employment and finally the effect of agriculture growth, relative indicator of agricultural export price and supportive and exchange policies on agricultural export. According to the results, the necessity of investment increase, depreciation decrease and the productivity improvement of producing factors for the realization of higher economical growth, concentration on investment development through raise in capital stock and regulating strategies related to export development in order to develop employment generation in agriculture and also following policies of producing competitive products in agricultural sector, reform of exchange rate and keeping and expanding supportive policies (giving out export prizes) in order to expand agricultural export must be taken into account by governors and politicians.