اثرات جهاني شدن بر صادرات غير نفتي ايران

The Effects of Globalization on Non-oil Exports in Iran

This study investigates the impact of globalization on non-oil exports in Iran based on monetary and non-monetary factors through application of GMDH neural network model, as a tool with high ability for tracing and indicating complex nonlinear trends, especially when limited number of observations are available. The research has used International Trade Integration criteria and trade openness index as indices of globalization. The findings of this research illustrate that the impact of the growth of the world income and the growth of imported capital goods on non-oil exports in Iran is more important than the effect of other factors in globalization process. Furthermore, this study concludes the growth of GOP as an internal factor has a significantly major effect on increasing non-oil exports.