ارزيابي فقر در استان سمنان طي برنامه هاي پنج ساله اول ، دوم و سوم توسعه اقتصادي (1383-1368)

An Evaluation of Poverty in Scmnan Province During the First, Second and Third Development Plans (1368-1383)

This study attempts 10 answer the question that whether the First, Second and Lhird Development Plans in Iran (1368-1383) could have changed the poverty structure in Semnan Province? In answering this question, the poverty line, head-count index, poverty gap index and lhe Foster-Greek-Thorbccke index have been estimated based on household income-expenditure statistics using t .incar Expenditure System lIES) and Iterative Seemingly Unrelated Regression (ISUR). The results demonstrate that the poverty line in urban and rural areas during the said period exhibits an upward trend. It is also Iound that the poverty line in urhan areas is always above the rural areas. In addition, the proportion of poor class people and the depth of poverty in urban and rural areas in Sernnan Province have been increased during the First Development Plan but have been decreased during the Second and Third Dcveloprncnt IʹIans..