اثر بي ثباتي نرخ ارز بر صادرات غيرنفتي در ايران

Exchange Rat Volatility and Non-oil Exports in Iranian Economy

There is long and huge literature about the impact of exchange rate on economy. It is also interesting to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on export. In this paper, using volatility of real weighted exchange rate, this investigation is done for non-oil export in Iran. Conditional standard error and standard error of moving average are used to quantify the volatility of exchange rate. Johansen - Juselius Method and ARDL are used for estimation. Positive effect of exchange rate and negative effect of its volatility were approved.