تحليل و ارزيابي تعديل قيمت بنزين و گازوييل و تاثير آن بر هزينه زندگي و مصرف در ايران

An Analysis of the Impact of Gasoline and Gas Oil Price Adjustment on Consumption and Cost of Living in Iran

The price of energy carriers in Iran is determined by the government. The government intervention in energy price determination imposes a heavy expenditure on subsidies in the government budget and distorts relative prices. In this paper, we use the Input-Output table and household demand function to assess the impact of the adjustment of energy prices on cost of living and consumption under four different price increases. For this purpose, we have used IO table of 1384 and household budget data from 1353-1386. The IO model and panel data method are used to investigate and estimate the parameters. The results show that increase of gasoline and gas oil prices under all have the greatest impact on household expenditures on transport and communications and food and beverage. The recreation, entertainment, education and cultural services groups are the second groups where consumption is expected to be reduced the most in response to the increased prices. JEL Classification: Q43,C67,C23