تاثير توسعه مالي و مخارج عمومي بر درآمد ملي ايران :(يك مطالعه اقتصاد سنجي)

Impact of Financial and Monetary Development and Public Expenditures on Iranʹs National Income (An Econometric Study)

Many of economists believe that financial and monetary development and economic stability are necessary conditions in order to access to high rate of economic growth. Regarding the high importance of economic growth for developing countries, we investigate financial and monetary development, economic stability and their impact on economic growth. The objective of this paper is to estimate an econometric model for analyzing the impact of financial and monetary development and public expenditure on Iranʹs national income. Selection of the variables is consistent with economic growth and the views of monetarist and Keynesian on the relative impact of monetary and fiscal policies. After determining the time series characteristics of the data set a vector error correction model (VECM) is estimated.The empirical results indicate no support for "supply leading" view of financial development and Mackinnon-Shaw repressionist proposition in Iran. Also there is not any noticeable support for the monetary and fiscal policies effectiveness.