بررسي روشهاي پيشرفته ارزيابي، تحليل ريسك و تحليل تورم در پروژه هاي بلند مدت

A Survey of Sophisticated Capital Budgeting Techniques, Risk and Inflation Analysis in Long Term Projects

This study is investigating the extent of using and effectiveness of sophisticated techniques and risk and inflation analyzing in evaluation of long term projects in Tehran Stock Exchange in 2006. To collect data for this research we designed a reliable and valid questionnaire. The result indicate that the managers of the companies in Tehran Stock Exchange are using the following techniques: net present value, profitability index, internal rate of return, and accounting rate of return in order to evaluate the long term projects. Also the results showed that in view of the above managers techniques based on inflation such as the method based on real value of cash flow have the most effectiveness in decision making for investment. Other results showed that the most important obstacles of using sophisticated capital budgeting techniques are not employing scientific and practical word force; and insufficient indexes and variants in the country to implement required calculations.