مدل سازي تاثير درياچه بر مناطق مجاور (مطالعه موردي : مدل سازي اقليمي حوزه ي آبخيز جازموريان با ايجاد درياچه مصنوعي)

Modeling the Influence of Water Body in Surrounding Areas (Case Study: Climatic Modeling of Jazmoorian Watershed by Creation of Assumptive lake)

In this research, for the first time in Iran, the effects of water body on neighboring region is analyzed by using of TAPM software and modeling the resulted changes. The procedure consists of creation of an assumptive lake in Jazmoorian sink through increasing the existing water height which is 351m to the 500m above sea level, gathering and registering the resulted changes in local climatic situation regarding changes in temperature, wind velocity and relative humidity in summer and winter profile, resulted from new conditions due to the presence of assumptive lake. The output of the model shows increasing the temperature as much as 6.5°c in winter and reducing of it as much as 1.6°c in summer, increasing the average wind velocity as much as 2.9m/s in winter and lm/s in summer and also increasing relative humidity of the area as much as %6.5 in winter and %30 in summer. TAPM shows acceptable results in climatic parameters of temperature, wind velocity and relative humidity with correlation coefficient of about 83 , 54 and 66 percent, and Index of Agreement (10 A) about 83, 63 and 73 percent, respectively