بررسي نيازهاي منابع انساني برنامه پنجم توسعه: رويكردي آينده پژوهي

Evaluating Human Resource Requirements of the Fifth Development Plan: A Futures Study Approach

Human resource has been taken into account as the most valuable capital of each country and its development basis. In order the countryʹs growth and development to be fulfilled, there is a need to a precise planning for such a valuable capital. Therefore, approaching the compilation of the fifth development plan for Iran and to fulfill the national vision document, human resource planning is a subject to be considered. Since Iran has been exposed to quick environmental changes and due to future changes, the main object of this research is to recognizing human resource requirements and subsequently making an appropriate planning based on these changes in order to assure its development trend. This article (taken from M.A. thesis) has planned some scenarios for Iran future circumstances using the method of "futures study" and then, after taking expertsʹ opinions into consideration, two of these scenarios which are more probable have been known and respectively, human resource requirements in the fifth development plan have been evaluated.