بررسي اثرات اجراي طرح هدفمند كردن يارانه ها بر مصرف بنزين در ايران

Effects of the Targeted Subsidy Plan on Gasoline Consumption in Iran

In this article the effects of the changes in the gas price on its consumption in Iran have been investigated during 1971-2008 by applying VAR method. The variables include real gas price, gas consumption, GDP (non-oil) and the number of automobiles. The results of the reaction functions show that gas consumption is slightly decreased at the first steps of price changes, but will be increased within a short period of time. Furthermore, the number of automobiles and GDP (non-oil) are variables, having significant, positive effects on gas consumption in Iran. JEL Classification: H11; H21; N75; C35; R41