سطح بندي توسعه و اولويت برنامه ريزي فضايي شهرستان هاي استان اصفهان

An Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Development Indicators in Cities of Isfahan Province

هدف از اين مقاله بررسي چگونگي يا نحوه ي برخورداري شهرستان هاي استان از شاخص هاي توسعه، به منظور دستيابي به ميزان نابرابري‌هاي ناحيه‌اي در شهرستان هاي استان براساس آمار سال 1385 است. جامعه ي آماري پژوهش،21 شهرستان استان اصفهان را شامل مي شود كه براساس 27 شاخص رتبه بندي شده اند. براي نيل به اين مهم شاخص هاي مورد مطالعه با استفاده از روش تحليل عاملي به 5 عامل تقليل يافته و به صورت تركيبي در عوامل معني دار ارايه گرديده اند. بر اساس يافته هاي پژوهش درصد سهم هر عامل در توسعه ي شهرستان ها مشخص و همچنين با بهرگيري از شاخص موريس شهرستان ها در پنج گروه (بسيار برخوردار، برخوردار، متوسط، محروم، بسيار محروم) سطح بندي و جايگاه هر يك از شهرستان ها در سطوح توسعه بيان گرديده است در نهايت با برقراري رابطه ي رگرسيون بين عوامل تاثيرگذار و درجه ي توسعه يافتگي، شاخص هايي كه اولويت اول و دوم را در افزايش سطوح توسعه ي شهرستان ها دارند پيشنهاد شده است.

Analyzing the indicators, determining the effective factors in levels of development and leveling using statistical methods help planners to gain precise plans for a balanced sustainable development based on the analysis of main components.The purpose of this paper is to investigate how Isfahan’ counties achieve the development indicators in order to determine the regional inequality rates in these counties based on the statistics of 1385. The statistical population contains 21 counties of Isfahan Province which are ranked based on 27 indicators. To do so, the indicators of the study are reduced to 5 factors using factor analysis and are presented in a combined form of meaningful factors.Based on the findings of the research, the percentage of the portion of each factor in the development of Province’ counties was specified and also using Morris index, counties were ranked into 5 categories (very privileged, privileged, middle, deprived, very deprived), and the place of each county in the development levels was determined. The leveling results from Morris Index show that 4 counties, which are Naien, Aran and Bidgol, Kashan, and Isfahan, are at highly-privileged level andArdestan, Golpayegan, Tiran and Crohn ,Khansar, Khomeini Shahr, Natanz are at the second or privileged level andShahreza Najaf Abad, Borkhar and mymeh, Mobarakeh, Semirom are at the middle level counties. Deprived Counties include Chadegan, FelavarjanSemirom-e- Sofla, Fereidan, Lenjan and at the fifth level is the only highly deprived county, Freydounshahr.In order to determine the homogenous counties, cluster sampling method was applied and the result of this leveling was compared with the leveling made using Morris index. Finally, by making a regression relation among the effective factors and the development rate, factors which have the first and second priority in increasing the development level of the counties have been suggested.