اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري براي توسعه صنايع تبديلي كشاورزي با بهره‌گيري از روش دلفي (مطالعه موردي شهرستان همدان)

Investment Prioritizing of Food and Agricultural Processing Industries (Case Study: Hamedan County)

هدف: اين تحقيق ازنظر ماهيت يك تحقيق كاربردي است و هدف اصلي آن تعيين اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري در پروژه‌هاي مختلف درزمينه صنايع تبديلي كشاورزي در شهرستان همدان مي‌باشد. قطعاً با تعيين اولويت‌هاي مختلف سرمايه‌گذاري درزمينه صنايع تبديلي برنامه‌ريزي جهت توسعه اين صنعت تسهيل و هدف‌دار گرديده و مانع از هدر رفت عامل سرمايه خواهد شد. روش: تحقيق حاضر باهدف اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري براي توسعه صنايع تبديلي كشاورزي با استفاده از رهيافت دلفي صورت پذيرفته است. جامعه آماري تحقيق متخصصين صنايع تبديلي در شهرستان همدان بوده و جمع‌آوري داده‌هاي تحقيق بر اساس مراجعه حضوري و ميداني صورت گرفته است. پس از طراحي پرسشنامه‌ها توسط تيم طراح و تحليل‌گر، اطلاعات و داده‌هاي تحقيق از طريق گروه دلفي اين تحقيق كه مجموعه‌اي مركب از 39 نفر بوده كه همگي از متخصصان و كارشناسان و افراد صاحب‌نظر درزمينه صنايع تبديلي بخش كشاورزي منطقه بوده‌اند، تدارك گرديد. يافته‌ها: يافته‌هاي تحقيق نشان مي‌دهند كه تمامي فرآوري‌هاي محصول سيب‌زميني در اين اولويت‌بندي جز اولويت‌هاي اصلي قرارگرفته‌اند، كه اين نشان‌دهنده استراتژيك بودن اين محصول به دليل توليد بالاي سيب‌زميني و وابسته بودن درصد زيادي از جمعيت كشاورز ساكن در شهرستان به اين محصول مي‌باشد. همچنين بر اساس نتايج تحقيق، صنايعي همچون توليد روغن آفتابگردان، توليد الكل و شربت ذرت و مارمالاد ميوه‌اي با در نظر گرفتن همه شاخص‌ها از اولويت پاييني برخوردار بوده و كمتر ضروري به‌نظر مي‌رسند. محدوديت‌ها/ راهبردها: بررسي اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري صنايع تبديلي با بهره‌گيري از روش‌هاي محاسباتي و اقتصادي از پيشنهاد‌ها اين تحقيق مي‌باشد. راهكارهاي عملي: توجه به معيارهاي مدت‌زمان بازگشت سرمايه، نرخ بازگشت اقتصادي و سرمايه اوليه پروژه در اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري و همچنين در اولويت قرار دادن سرمايه‌گذاري در صنايع تبديلي محصولات سير و سيب‌زميني در منطقه مورد مطالعه. اصالت و ارزش: نوآوري اين مقاله اولويت‌بندي سرمايه‌گذاري در صنايع تبديلي با بهره‌گيري از روش دلفي و در نظر گرفتن نظرات متخصصين اين صنعت مي‌باشد كه نتايج حاصل از آن به‌طور گسترده و موثر قابل‌استفاده توسط سازمان‌هاي زي ربط در استان و حتي در مورد برخي نتايج در سطح كشور مي‌باشد.

1. INTRODUCTION Rural industrialization strategy that provides the right tools to diversify the rural economy and thus creating jobs and increasing economic approach is considered more balanced income distribution, rural living standards improve, the achievement of sustainable development in rural area provides. Accordingly, rural industrialization could be through increasing production, productivity, employment opportunities, provision of basic needs and creating links with other economic sectors, very important role to play in rural development. Although the agricultural sector in most provinces can play a major role in job creation, but unfortunately due to the traditional structure of agriculture, the sector has a high employment rate. However, due to lack of storage chains and lack of market access or delay in transportation, a considerable part of agricultural products in different ways raised and the economic cycle is outside the village. One of the strategies that have been effective and has an important effect in this case, the use of appropriate methods and optimum storage of food that could act diverse industries is the internal consumption a commercial scale are that enhance the quality developed and the period of food preservation is more and create more value added. 2. THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK Development of complementary industries and agriculture can be a good way to prevent injuries and increase the value-added agricultural products. Emphasizes the need to reduce losses in agricultural production through the completion of the process after the formations of patterns in the development of processing industries in rural areas were. However, despite the importance of industries and a relatively new concept in the agricultural sector and the national economy is still as worthy of support and guidance is not. According to the definitions, limitations, sources of funding for capital investments or high-risk investments in manufacturing activities require planning and investment priorities- investment is unavoidable. In addition, it is possible to prioritize funding allocation provides resources, time and costs to prepare the pre-investment and feasibility study of the project decreases. The aim of this study was to identify industry has the capability and potential of the city of Hamedan and prioritize investments in agricultural processing industries is to guide investments. 3. METHODOLOGY This study aimed to prioritize funding for the development of agricultural processing industry using the Delphi method has been done. Delphi is systematic research approach or method for extracting comments from a group of experts on an issue or a question.The population in the city of Hamedan processing industry and research experts collected data and field research is based on in person. The designer and the analyst of this research are to design the questionnaire, a trio of researchers, supervisor and counselor made. Delphi Group survey set was composed of 39 people, all of the professionals and experts in the region are agriculture industries. The design of the questionnaire, the designer and analyst, based on regional data, the most appropriate for the purposes of the processing industry in the context of a specific questionnaire for the feedback of Delphi set. 4. DISCUSSION Our findings show that industries such as sunflower oil, corn syrup and jelly fruity alcohol and taking all indicators have lower priority than necessary deductions. As you can see, all the processing priority of the potato crop were among the main priorities, which shows the strategic nature of this product, because production depends on the potatoes, and a large percentage of the population are farmers living in the city to this product. In particular, resource constraints will determine the need for capital investment planning in each area in accordance with certain criteria and specific characteristics of the region must be done. The results show that in the study area in order to motivate and attract a measure of initial capital required initial investment, return on investment and return criteria, the period of high economic importance are to encourage investment. So planning for investments in processing and processing agricultural products according to these three criteria is important in introducing investment options. 5. CONCLUSION Based on the results of the various options available for investing and taking into consideration all the criteria and the importance of each of the proposed measures, investment in processing and garlic and potato product become very high priority. Therefore, we should develop programs to invest in the production of these products in the region created. These industries can flourish and attract capital investment in the conversion and processing of agricultural products.