Title of article :
Bertrand’s Paradox Revisited: More Lessons about that Ambiguous Word, Random
Author/Authors :
Chiu، Samuel S. نويسنده Department of Management Science and Engineering Chiu, Samuel S. , Larson، Richard C. نويسنده ,
Issue Information :
فصلنامه با شماره پیاپی سال 2009
Abstract :
The Bertrand paradox question is: “Consider a unit-radius circle for which the length of a side
of an inscribed equilateral triangle equals ?3 . Determine the probability that the length of a
‘random’ chord of a unit-radius circle has length greater than ?3 .” Bertrand derived three
different ‘correct’ answers, the correctness depending on interpretation of the word, random.
Here we employ geometric and probability arguments to extend Bertrand’s analysis in two
ways: (1) for his three classic examples, we derive the probability distributions of the chord
lengths; and (2) we also derive the distribution of chord lengths for five new plausible
interpretations of randomness. This includes connecting (and extending) two random points
within the circle to form a random chord, perhaps being a most natural interpretation of
random.
Journal title :
Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering (JISE)
Journal title :
Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering (JISE)