Effect of partial cutting on predation risk to artificial bird nests

Based on relative abundance data, partial cutting has been suggested as a technique to maintain habitat for birds associated with late-seral forests, but there has been little study of partial cutting effects on nesting success. One of the primary limitations to nesting success is nest predation. We compared predation rates (proportion of nests disturbed in a 14-day period) in partially cut (30 or 60% basal area removal), clearcut, and uncut forests in northwestern British Columbia, in two experiments using groundplaced (1993) and shrub-placed (1998) artificial nests. In the ground-nest experiment there was a very low predation rate (0.06) and no detectable difference among treatments (p = 0.403). In the shrub-nest experiment, there was a 0.36 predation rate and little evidence of treatment differences (p = 0.295). Based on 90% confidence intervals for differences in observed predation rate, the 30% removal clearly did not increase predation risk relative to uncut forest. With the 60% removal, however, we cannot rule out a possible increase in predation risk compared with either uncut forest or clearcuts.