شماره ركورد كنفرانس :
4529
عنوان مقاله :
Application of Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithm for Estimation of Total Electricity Consumption in Iran Using Socio-Economic Indicators
Author/Authors :
Arash Mobassery Department of Management - Firoozkooh Branch of Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh , Ali Mehdizadeh Ashrafi Department of Management - Firoozkooh Branch of Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh , Amir gholam Abri Department of Mathematics - Firoozkooh Branch of Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh
كليدواژه :
Electricity Consumption , Particle Swarm Optimization , Socio-Economic Indicators , Genetic Algorithm
عنوان كنفرانس :
دومين كنفرانس بين المللي فناوري و مديريت انرژي
چكيده لاتين :
Energy planning, formulating strategies and recommending energy policies are the most important reasons of electricity consumption estimating. The main objective of this research is to find the relationship between socio-economic indicators and electricity consumption in Iran using intelligent methods. This study develops Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Genetic Algorithm (GA) demand estimation models based on population, number of customers, gross domestic product (GDP), and price figures. Electricity consumption in Iran from 1979 to 2013 is considered as the case of this study. The available data is partly used for finding the optimal, or near optimal, values of the weighting parameters (1979-2007) and partly for testing the models
(2008–2013). For the best results (PSO-exponential), relative error average was 4.99 %.
