Author/Authors :
TOYGANÖZÜ, Cüneyt Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi - Fen Edebiyat Fakültesi - Matematik Bölümü, Türkiye , BALCI, Çiğdem Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi - Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü - Matematik Bölümü, Türkiye
Title Of Article :
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF SIESMIC DATA BY EXTREME VALUE THEORY: LAKE REGION CASE
Abstract :
Turkey is one of the world s leading countries according to the earthquake risk. Considering the seismic map of Turkey, many strong earthquakes have been observed in almost every region. Turkey is divided into five different regions in terms of seismic hazard. Some of major cities have been established on a first-degree earthquake zone in Turkey and as a reality more than half of the population live in these cities. Extreme value analysis aims to make estimation of the probability of events for long periods using that of short periods obtained from nature. In this study, we fit a generalized extreme value distribution to the seismic data of Lake Region located in a first-degree earthquake zone and determined parameter estimates by block maxima method. In addition, we estimated return values and return periods for the data.
NaturalLanguageKeyword :
Extreme value theory , Block maxima , Maximum likelihood , Return level , Return period.
JournalTitle :
Anadolu University Journal of Science and Technology. A : Applied Sciences and Engineering
