KARTAL, Mahmut Bartın Üniversitesi - İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Turkey , KUTLAR, Aziz Sakarya Üniversitesi - İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Turkey , BEĞEN, Abdülkadir Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi - Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Turkey

LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS OF RISK FACTORS AFFECTING TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS: STUDY OF SİVAS, KAYSERİ AND YOZGAT

39700

In this study, traffic accidents resulted in fatality and injury occurred within the city limits of Kayseri, Sivas and Yozgat during the time period 2000-2006 were analysed. In order to do this, approximately 2130 traffic accident reports examined where each city contributed nearly 700 reports to the examination. First of all, descriptive statistics of the data collected from traffic accident reports were calculated. Subsequently, without taking into account city variable, logistic regression analyses were applied to the whole data. In addition, the consequence of traffic accident variable was defined as dichotomous (injury-resulted and fatal accidents). In traffic accidents, it was found that when fault-order raised, the odds ratio increased. Moreover, if an accident resulted both drivers were death, it was indicated that the number of death passengers apart from drivers declined while the number of injured passengers went up. With regard to the effect of types of roads on accidents, the number of fatal accidents in single carriageways was found to be higher than in dual carriageways. Finally, by far the highest number of fatal accidents was seen in Kayseri and the log odds ratio went down through other cities.

45

Traffic accident , risk factors , logistic regression

The International Journal Of Economic and Social Research

68