• DocumentCode
    1024188
  • Title

    Objective and subjective estimates of human error

  • Author

    Moray, Neville

  • Author_Institution
    Illinois Univ., Urbana-Champaign, IL, USA
  • Volume
    38
  • Issue
    3
  • fYear
    1989
  • fDate
    8/1/1989 12:00:00 AM
  • Firstpage
    301
  • Lastpage
    304
  • Abstract
    It is shown that if subjective estimates of probabilities of events are to be converted to objective estimates by means of one or two empirical anchors, a currently recommended equation can produce meaningless values of probability which exceed unity. This new method guarantees rescaling to keep probability in the range [0, 1]. An example is given to demonstrate the approach
  • Keywords
    human factors; probability; reliability; human error; human reliability; objective estimates; probabilities of events; probability; subjective estimates; Automobiles; Equations; Error probability; Human factors; Industrial engineering; Life estimation; Lightning; Risk analysis; Risk management; Safety;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Journal_Title
    Reliability, IEEE Transactions on
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • ISSN
    0018-9529
  • Type

    jour

  • DOI
    10.1109/24.44171
  • Filename
    44171
    • Link To Document
    https://search.isc.ac/dl/search/defaultta.aspx?DTC=49&DC=1024188