Title :
One Day Ahead Prediction of Wind Speed and Direction
Author :
El-Fouly, Tarek H M ; El-Saadany, Ehab F. ; Salama, Magdy M A
Author_Institution :
Univ. of Waterloo, Waterloo
fDate :
3/1/2008 12:00:00 AM
Abstract :
This paper presents a new technique for predicting wind speed and direction. This technique is based on using a linear time-series-based model relating the predicted interval to its corresponding one- and two-year old data. The accuracy of the model for predicting wind speeds and directions up to 24 h ahead have been investigated using two sets of data recorded during winter and summer season at Madison weather station. Generated results are compared with their corresponding values when using the persistent model. The presented results validate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed prediction model for wind speed and direction.
Keywords :
least squares approximations; time series; wind power; Madison weather station; least-square method; linear time-series-based model; one day ahead prediction; wind direction prediction; wind speed prediction; Least-square method; prediction; time series; wind;
Journal_Title :
Energy Conversion, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TEC.2007.905069