Distributional analysis for model predictive deferrable load control

Deferrable load control is essential for handling the uncertainties associated with the increasing penetration of renewable generation. Model predictive control has emerged as an effective approach for deferrable load control, and has received considerable attention. Though the average-case performance of model predictive deferrable load control has been analyzed in prior works, the distribution of the performance has been elusive. In this paper, we prove strong concentration results on the load variation obtained by model predictive deferrable load control. These results highlight that the typical performance of model predictive deferrable load control is tightly concentrated around the average-case performance.