Title :
Solar Particle Events and Self-Organized Criticality: Are Deterministic Predictions of Events Possible?
Author :
Xapsos, M.A. ; Stauffer, C. ; Barth, J.L. ; Burke, E.A.
Author_Institution :
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD
Abstract :
Evidence is presented that solar particle events are a self-organized critical phenomenon. Using daily and monthly fluences of solar protons measured by the IMP-8 and GOES satellite instrumentation over a 28-year period, long-term correlation of events, fractal characteristics and power function behavior for the density functions of fluence magnitudes and waiting times are demonstrated. The implications are that it is not possible to predict the time of occurrence and magnitude of solar particle events within narrow limits
Keywords :
fractals; self-organised criticality; solar cosmic ray particles; solar radiation; GOES; IMP-8; Interplanetary Monitoring Platform-8; density functions; fractal characteristics; geostationary operational environmental satellites; power function distribution; satellite instrumentation; self-organized criticality; solar particle events; solar protons measurement; Density functional theory; Density measurement; Fractals; Instruments; NASA; Observatories; Power measurement; Protons; Satellites; Space technology; Fractal; rescaled range; self-organized criticality; solar particle event;
Journal_Title :
Nuclear Science, IEEE Transactions on
DOI :
10.1109/TNS.2006.880576
