Title :
Diagnosing Tropical Cyclone Sensitivity
Author :
Doyle, James D. ; Reynolds, Carolyn A. ; Amerault, Clark
Author_Institution :
Marine Meteorol. Div., US Naval Res. Lab., Monterey, CA, USA
Abstract :
Using sensitivity calculations, it´s possible to better understand complex influences on typhoon evolution from organized convection to larger-scale weather systems. With Typhoon Lupit, for example, the rapid growth of small perturbations led to multiple errors that limited the accuracy of path and intensity forecasts.
Keywords :
geophysics computing; storms; weather forecasting; diagnosing tropical cyclone sensitivity; intensity forecasts; larger scale weather systems; sensitivity calculations; typhoon evolution; typhoon lupit; Computational modeling; Hurricanes; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Sensitivity; Tropical cyclones; Weather forecasting; Earth and atmospheric sci-ences; Modeling methodologies; adjoints; computing methodologies; finite difference methods; hurricanes; tropical cyclones;
Journal_Title :
Computing in Science & Engineering
DOI :
10.1109/MCSE.2010.146
