A Study of the Prediction Requirements in Real-Time Control of Wave Energy Converters

It is widely acknowledged that real-time control of wave energy converters (WECs) can benefit from prediction of the excitation force. The prediction requirements (how far ahead into the future do we need to predict?) and the achievable predictions (how far ahead can we predict?) are quantified when unconstrained reactive control is implemented. The fundamental properties of the floating system that influence the length of the required forecasting horizon, as well as the achievable prediction, are characterized. The possibility of manipulating the control, based on prior knowledge of the wave spectral distribution, is also proposed for the reduction of the prediction requirements, such that they are within the range of predictability offered by simple stochastic predictors. The proposed methodology is validated on real wave data and heaving buoys with different geometries.