A non-homogeneous poisson process model of Skin Conductance Responses integrated with observed regulatory behaviors for Autism intervention

Early intervention in individuals with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) can improve core and associated symptoms and facilitate skills that increase social opportunities. However, determining effective intervention success in this population, and the mechanisms that produce it, is currently restricted to observable behavior. The need of therapy assessment metrics beyond traditional behavioral criteria, led to the use of physiological signals for capturing child-therapist internal dynamics during an intervention session. Internal physiological states were measured through Electrodermal Activity (EDA) and modeled in relation to observed self- and co-regulatory behaviors. A common measure of EDA, Skin Conductance Response (SCR), was the primary signal of interest and assumed to form a non-homogeneous Poisson Process whose rate function is determined by observed regulatory behaviors. Through likelihood and residual goodness of fit analysis, statistical tests and classification tasks, our results indicate that SCR changes and observable behavior in child-therapist dyads are temporally associated and the estimated model parameters can be linked to the types of regulation stimuli.